Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.076146 0.090500 0.106609 0.125997 0.148669 0.174309 0.205476
2025-02-16 0.053979 0.072356 0.095358 0.126132 0.166081 0.216028 0.283032
2025-02-23 0.042667 0.062925 0.090557 0.130703 0.187184 0.263399 0.373530
2025-03-02 0.032830 0.052563 0.081530 0.126662 0.194591 0.292251 0.442292
2025-03-09 0.026902 0.046273 0.076582 0.126730 0.206689 0.327990 0.524219
2025-03-16 0.022094 0.040581 0.071235 0.124792 0.214723 0.357852 0.600231
2025-03-23 0.019256 0.037521 0.069424 0.127932 0.230780 0.401516 0.702460
2025-03-30 0.016338 0.033693 0.065555 0.126742 0.239061 0.433057 0.788061
2025-04-06 0.013739 0.029926 0.061093 0.123635 0.243252 0.457725 0.864263
2025-04-13 0.011501 0.026413 0.056477 0.119405 0.244573 0.477109 0.932815
2025-04-20 0.010308 0.024837 0.055370 0.121747 0.258481 0.520660 1.049855
2025-04-27 0.009172 0.023157 0.053757 0.122762 0.269786 0.560365 1.163665
2025-05-04 0.008091 0.021427 0.051825 0.122963 0.279765 0.599226 1.281455
2025-05-11 0.007262 0.020136 0.050665 0.124688 0.293221 0.646636 1.421797
2025-05-18 0.006737 0.019504 0.050909 0.129605 0.314213 0.711752 1.605302
2025-05-25 0.005776 0.017524 0.047597 0.125687 0.314872 0.734037 1.701207
2025-06-01 0.005156 0.016342 0.046053 0.125777 0.324718 0.777140 1.846301
2025-06-08 0.004527 0.014995 0.043848 0.123858 0.329491 0.809401 1.970704
2025-06-15 0.004187 0.014429 0.043617 0.126976 0.346935 0.872247 2.170418
2025-06-22 0.003722 0.013376 0.041870 0.125795 0.353410 0.910187 2.316428
2025-06-29 0.003253 0.012200 0.039562 0.122710 0.354547 0.935467 2.435089
2025-07-06 0.002812 0.011012 0.037007 0.118510 0.352147 0.951799 2.533777
2025-07-13 0.002606 0.010593 0.036710 0.120835 0.367782 1.014742 2.753449